MS-Th-BC-07
Uncertainty Quantification for Applications in Earth Sciences - Part II of II
For Part I, see MS-We-E-07

Date: August 13
Time: 10:00--12:00
Room: 202A

(Note: Click title to show the abstract.)

Organizer:
Tong, Charles (Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory)
Duan, Qingyun (Beijing Normal Univ.)

Abstract: Accurate prediction and reliable decision-making in earth systems (watershed, groundwater contamination, carbon sequestration, geothermal reservoir, nuclear waste disposal, etc.) are always challenged by uncertainties of conceptual models, parameters, and experimental and field data. Deterministic models of earth systems are traditionally developed on a single, but presumably "known" geologic structure with "certain" system properties, and may not provide the credibility and confidence in decision making and system forecasting. For this reason, uncertainty quantification (UQ) has been studied, as a branch from mathematics, statistics, and computer science, and applied in developing robust models and simulations in earth systems.

This mini-symposium is proposed to encompasses theoretical UQ study, computational methodology development, and applications in earth systems. We encourage presentations on the studies of model-form and parametric uncertainties, sensitivity analyses, reduced-order model development, uncertainty reduction, uncertainty propagation, risk assessment, and decision-making. We welcome application studies in climate change, hydrologic systems, subsurface flow and reactive transport, subsurface energy storage, CO2 geological sequestration, and clear waste disposal, environmental
remediation, natural hazard prediction, etc.


MS-Th-BC-07-1
10:00--10:30
Uncertainty Propagation from CO2 Sequestration to Leakage in Groundwater Aquifers
Sun, Yunwei (Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory)


MS-Th-BC-07-2
10:30--11:00
Analysis of parameter sensitivity of two global land surface models
Li, Jianduo (Beijing Normal Univ.)
Wang, Yingping (CSIRO)
Duan, Qingyun (Beijing Normal Univ.)


CP-Th-BC-07-3
11:00--11:20
Modelling the Onset of Dust Eruptions
McGuinness, Mark (Victoria Univ. of Wellington)


CP-Th-BC-07-4
11:20--11:40
Modelling Surtseyan Ejecta
McGuinness, Mark (Victoria Univ. of Wellington)

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Footnote:
Code: Type-Date-Time-Room No.
Type : IL=Invited Lecture, SL=Special Lectures, MS=Minisymposia, IM=Industrial Minisymposia, CP=Contributed Papers, PP=Posters
Date: Mo=Monday, Tu=Tuesday, We=Wednesday, Th=Thursday, Fr=Friday
Time : A=8:30-9:30, B=10:00-11:00, C=11:10-12:10, BC=10:00-12:10, D=13:30-15:30, E=16:00-18:00, F=19:00-20:00, G=12:10-13:30, H=15:30-16:00
Room No.: TBA